000			01412 a2200265 4500
999			_c1914 _d1914
003			OSt
005			20191017142138.0
008			191017b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a978-0-141-03148-4
040			_cIZA
100			_aTaleb, Nassim Nicholas _94963
245			_aFooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
260			_aLondon et al., _bPenguin, _c2007
300			_a315 pages
520			_aEveryone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book is the bestselling sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. It is all about luck: more precisely, how we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences. Nowhere is this more obvious than in the markets - we hear an entrepreneur has 'vision' or a trader is 'talented', but all too often their performance is down to chance rather than skill. It is only because we fail to understand probability that we continue to believe events are non-random, finding reasons where none exist.
653			_asocial science
653			_aMonte Carlo simulation
653			_arisk management
653			_adecision
653			_auncertainty
653			_arandom walks
653			_ainvestments
653			_achance
942			_2ddc _cBO